WASHINGTON — A recent survey reveals Kamala Harris either leading or tying with Donald Trump in six out of seven crucial swing states, marking a significant shift since Joe Biden exited the race last month. The Cook Political Report poll, which was carried out by Democratic pollsters BSG and Republican pollsters GS Strategy Group, shows Harris ahead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Arizona, while she is neck-and-neck with Trump in Georgia. Nevada remains the only battleground where Trump still holds a lead.

However, it’s worth noting that the poll’s margin of error, which ranges from +/- 4.7 to 4.9 percentage points depending on the state, means Harris’ leads in Arizona, Michigan, and North Carolina fall within this range, indicating a close race in those areas.

The latest findings indicate that Kamala Harris, the vice president and Democratic nominee, now has several viable paths to reach the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the presidency. This shift comes after Joe Biden faced challenges in key Sun Belt states—Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina—forcing his campaign to rely more heavily on the “blue wall” states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

For more details, check out the latest Harris-Trump poll, which highlights potential risks for the former president, especially in Florida.

In a survey conducted by the same pollsters in May, Trump held the lead over Biden in six of the seven battleground states and was tied with him in Wisconsin. However, the latest poll shows a significant shift, with Kamala Harris now solidifying support within the Democratic base. The survey found that 91% of voters who backed Biden in 2020 are now committed to voting for Harris, a notable increase from the 82% who expressed support for Biden in May.

“In many ways, Harris is unburdened by the past,” Amy Walter, publisher and editor-in-chief of the Cook Political Report, noted in her analysis of the poll results. “Although she is the current incumbent, 56% of voters in battleground states view her as an opportunity to ‘turn the page on the Trump/Biden era,’ and 59% believe she represents a ‘new generation of leadership.'”

In response to Harris’ growing momentum, the Trump campaign has attempted to slow her down by labeling her as “dangerously liberal” and drawing connections to Biden, whose approval rating has remained around 40% for much of his presidency.

Kamala Harris, who recently completed a multi-state campaign blitz alongside her new running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, continues to refer to herself as “the underdog” in the race. She aims to build on her current polling momentum at the upcoming Democratic National Convention in Chicago.

The poll, conducted between July 26 and August 2, surveyed 2,867 likely voters across seven key swing states, including third-party candidates. Here’s a breakdown of the latest results:

• Arizona: Harris leads Trump 46% to 42%. Back in May, Trump had a 5-point lead over Biden.
• Georgia: Harris and Trump are tied at 46%. In May, Trump was ahead of Biden by 4 points.
• Michigan: Harris is ahead with 46% to Trump’s 44%. Previously, Trump led Biden by 3 points.
• Nevada: Trump maintains a lead over Harris at 47% to 42%, though this margin has narrowed from an 8-point lead over Biden in May.
• North Carolina: Harris leads 46% to 44%, a notable change from Trump’s 8-point lead over Biden earlier.
• Pennsylvania: Harris leads 48% to Trump’s 43%, where Trump previously held a 3-point lead over Biden.
• Wisconsin: Harris is ahead with 48% to Trump’s 43%. In May, the poll had Trump and Biden tied in Wisconsin.

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